Quantec is a consultancy providing economic and financial data, country intelligence and quantitative analytical software.
A monthly overview of some important economic indicators. The latest leading indicator release of the SA Reserve Bank is discussed and a recession probability indicator is calculated. Interest rate developments, inflation, liquidations, insolvencies, retail sales and mining and manufacturing production developments and trends are also shown and briefly discussed. Tables of key international and monthly indicators are also provided.
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10 March 2017
According to Bloomberg, for the first time ever, hedge funds hold more than a billion barrels of bets that crude oil prices will rally.
06 February 2017
The maize crop production estimate for 2016 stands at 7.7 million tonnes which is 27% down on the 2015 number.
09 January 2017
The South African economy is likely to experience another difficult year in 2017.
07 December 2016
S&P; maintained its BBB- rating and reported that political events have distracted from growth-enhancing reforms, while low GDP growth continues to affect South Africa’s economic and fiscal performance and overall debt stock.
08 November 2016
South Africa’s import cover ratio is now back at more than 6 months after dipping to below 2 months in 2003. Subscribers to EasyData can download the complete report in PDF format on www.easydata.co.za..
03 October 2016
Manufacturing production growth eased-off in July, rising by only 0.4% y/y from an upwardly revised 4.7% in June.
05 September 2016
The composite leading economic indicator published by the SA Reserve Bank, rose by 0.9% m/m in June, although the y/y trend was still decidedly negative. Subscribers to EasyData can download the complete report in PDF format on www.easydata.co.za. .
05 July 2016
Manufacturing production picked up in April to 1.8% y/y after the disappointing -1.8% y/y recorded in March.
06 June 2016
Recent figures indicate that our recession probability indicator has shown a consistent increase since early 2015.
16 May 2016
A possible downgrade by credit ratings agencies could cause renewed currency weakness which would fuel imported inflation, while food prices are likely to remain under pressure because of the drought.