A monthly overview of some important economic indicators. The latest leading indicator release of the SA Reserve Bank is discussed and a recession probability indicator is calculated. Interest rate developments, inflation, liquidations, insolvencies, retail sales and mining and manufacturing production developments and trends are also shown and briefly discussed. Tables of key international and monthly indicators are also provided.
11 October 2021
There was a slight uptick in seasonally adjusted household credit extension in August.
08 September 2021
The second quarter GDP numbers were generally more favourable than expected.
05 August 2021
The SARB assesses food and fuel costs to pose the most upside risk to inflation in the next few months, but these pressures and risks are expected to fade thereafter.
16 July 2021
For now, we expect real expenditure on GDP to reach pre-COVID-19 levels by the end of 2022, with average real GDP growth during 2021-2023 amounting to 3.
12 May 2021
The rand's rally against nearly all developed and emerging market currencies gained further momentum in April 2021.
04 February 2021
There has been a notable moderation in the uptake of credit by households during 2020.
11 January 2021
Since around mid-2020, prices on domestic and international equity markets have shown some strong upward movement.
09 November 2020
With the US elections generally supporting risky assets, the rand has recently outpaced peers as the best performer among the group of major emerging market currencies.
08 July 2020
As was expected, South Africa experienced another quarter-on-quarter contraction (the third in a row) during the first quarter of 2020.
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