South Africa Economic Indicators (Monthly Report)
A monthly overview of some important economic indicators. The latest leading indicator release of the SA Reserve Bank is discussed and a recession probability indicator is calculated. Interest rate developments, inflation, liquidations, insolvencies, retail sales and mining and manufacturing production developments and trends are also shown and briefly discussed. Tables of key international and monthly indicators are also provided.
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15 September 2017
Although most major sectors (with the exception of Construction and General Government) made a positive contribution to the 2.5% q/q annualised growth rate, the contributions were rather small, with really only the 33.6% annualised growth in agriculture – due to good summer crops – which contributed meaningfully.
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31 July 2017
Low growth and a relenting current account deficit are also favouring lower interest rates.
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11 July 2017
The Reserve Bank’s next Monetary Policy Committee meeting is scheduled for 20 July.
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15 June 2017
At a quarterly annualised rate, growth was -0.7% in the first quarter of 2017—down further on the -0.3% recorded in the final quarter of 2016, while year-on-year growth amounted to only 0.6% in the first quarter.
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10 May 2017
In March, China’s industrial production expanded by 7.6% over the same month last year, coming in above the 6.4% increase in the January-February period.
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19 April 2017
The immediate impacts of the sovereign credit rating downgrade were fairly muted—partly because the step was widely expected—as was the cabinet reshuffle by President Zuma.
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10 March 2017
According to Bloomberg, for the first time ever, hedge funds hold more than a billion barrels of bets that crude oil prices will rally.
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06 February 2017
The maize crop production estimate for 2016 stands at 7.7 million tonnes which is 27% down on the 2015 number.
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09 January 2017
The South African economy is likely to experience another difficult year in 2017.
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07 December 2016
S&P; maintained its BBB- rating and reported that political events have distracted from growth-enhancing reforms, while low GDP growth continues to affect South Africa’s economic and fiscal performance and overall debt stock.
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