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A monthly overview of some important economic indicators. The latest leading indicator release of the SA Reserve Bank is discussed and a recession probability indicator is calculated. Interest rate developments, inflation, liquidations, insolvencies, retail sales and mining and manufacturing production developments and trends are also shown and briefly discussed. Tables of key international and monthly indicators are also provided.
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13 February 2018
Foreign net purchases of South African bonds and equities, measured on a 3-month rolling basis, have shown some divergent trends of late.
15 January 2018
For 2018, a growth rate of only 1% is forecast.
27 November 2017
Recent credit risk ratings by major global risk rating entities, have delivered a mixed bag of credit risk perceptions and outlooks.
06 November 2017
The projected government deficit-to-GDP and debt-to-GDP ratios have all been meaningfully increased.
18 October 2017
Several factors have contributed to a firming in commodity prices.
15 September 2017
Although most major sectors (with the exception of Construction and General Government) made a positive contribution to the 2.5% q/q annualised growth rate, the contributions were rather small, with really only the 33.6% annualised growth in agriculture – due to good summer crops – which contributed meaningfully. Subscribers to EasyData can download the complete report in PDF format on www.easydata.co.za..
31 July 2017
Low growth and a relenting current account deficit are also favouring lower interest rates.
11 July 2017
The Reserve Bank’s next Monetary Policy Committee meeting is scheduled for 20 July.
15 June 2017
At a quarterly annualised rate, growth was -0.7% in the first quarter of 2017—down further on the -0.3% recorded in the final quarter of 2016, while year-on-year growth amounted to only 0.6% in the first quarter.
10 May 2017
In March, China’s industrial production expanded by 7.6% over the same month last year, coming in above the 6.4% increase in the January-February period.