A monthly overview of some important economic indicators. The latest leading indicator release of the SA Reserve Bank is discussed and a recession probability indicator is calculated. Interest rate developments, inflation, liquidations, insolvencies, retail sales and mining and manufacturing production developments and trends are also shown and briefly discussed. Tables of key international and monthly indicators are also provided.
16 July 2021
For now, we expect real expenditure on GDP to reach pre-COVID-19 levels by the end of 2022, with average real GDP growth during 2021-2023 amounting to 3.4% p.a.
15 June 2021
The 4.6% quarter-on-quarter seasonally adjusted and annualised (saar) GDP expansion in the first quarter, well exceeded the consensus forecast at 3.2%.
12 May 2021
The rand's rally against nearly all developed and emerging market currencies gained further momentum in April 2021.
04 February 2021
There has been a notable moderation in the uptake of credit by households during 2020.
11 January 2021
Since around mid-2020, prices on domestic and international equity markets have shown some strong upward movement.
09 November 2020
With the US elections generally supporting risky assets, the rand has recently outpaced peers as the best performer among the group of major emerging market currencies.
08 July 2020
As was expected, South Africa experienced another quarter-on-quarter contraction (the third in a row) during the first quarter of 2020.
05 June 2020
We foresee the deepest recession since the 1920s and a protracted recovery back to the pre-pandemic real GDP level.
08 May 2020
Following the imposition of strict lockdown measures in March, followed by a 2-weeks extension, and followed by a phasing out strategy where most measures remain extremely strict, the economy is expected to be shrink between 10% and 20% in 2020.
08 April 2020
The COVID-19 outbreak and Moody’s sovereign credit risk downgrade to junk status, are sure to have dramatic effects on the South African economy over the next few months.
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South Africa Economic Indicator — July 2021 Report - 16 Jul 2021
South Africa Equity Market — July 2021 Report - 08 Jul 2021
South Africa Foreign Exchange Market — July 2021 Report - 08 Jul 2021
