A monthly overview of some important economic indicators. The latest leading indicator release of the SA Reserve Bank is discussed and a recession probability indicator is calculated. Interest rate developments, inflation, liquidations, insolvencies, retail sales and mining and manufacturing production developments and trends are also shown and briefly discussed. Tables of key international and monthly indicators are also provided.
05 May 2022
According to the Bureau for Economic Research (BER) at the University of Stellenbosch, the Absa PMI fell sharply to 50.7 index points in April 2022.
11 April 2022
According to Stats SA’s Formal Quarterly Employment Statistics (QES), non-agricultural employment in large businesses and government increased in the final quarter of 2021, by 0.6% q/q (62,000).
03 March 2022
With regards to the latest Government Budget, signals are encouraging, but medium-term fiscal risks persist.
08 February 2022
According to a survey done in January 2022 by Grain SA, South African grain producers have lost more than 60% of their white maize plantings owing to water damage thus far in 2022.
10 January 2022
After a steeply rising trend of 55% for diesel and more than 60% for petrol since May 2020, the new year heralded slight relief consumers.
11 October 2021
There was a slight uptick in seasonally adjusted household credit extension in August.
08 September 2021
The second quarter GDP numbers were generally more favourable than expected.
05 August 2021
The SARB assesses food and fuel costs to pose the most upside risk to inflation in the next few months, but these pressures and risks are expected to fade thereafter.
16 July 2021
For now, we expect real expenditure on GDP to reach pre-COVID-19 levels by the end of 2022, with average real GDP growth during 2021-2023 amounting to 3.4% p.a.
15 June 2021
The 4.6% quarter-on-quarter seasonally adjusted and annualised (saar) GDP expansion in the first quarter, well exceeded the consensus forecast at 3.2%.
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South Africa Economic Indicators — May 2022 Report - 05 May 2022
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