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A monthly overview of some important economic indicators. The latest leading indicator release of the SA Reserve Bank is discussed and a recession probability indicator is calculated. Interest rate developments, inflation, liquidations, insolvencies, retail sales and mining and manufacturing production developments and trends are also shown and briefly discussed. Tables of key international and monthly indicators are also provided.
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02 October 2019
A mid slowing global growth and rising trade tensions, several central banks, including the US Federal Reserve, have been easing monetary policy.
09 September 2019
The rand and local bond markets responded positively to the upside growth surprise.
08 August 2019
South Africa’s economy remains in limbo with the probability of a recession appearing to be on the rise.
11 July 2019
In May, household credit growth remained more or less steady at 6.1% year-on-year compared with 6% recorded in April.
11 June 2019
South Africa’s real GDP contracted by 3.2%, quarter-on-quarter seasonally adjusted and annualised (q/q saar), in the first quarter of 2019 from 1.4% recorded in the previous quarter.
09 May 2019
GDP growth slowed to 1.4% q/q seasonally adjusted and annualised (saar) in 4Q2018 from 2.6% in 3Q18.
05 April 2019
Renewed power cuts by Eskom and the plunge in business confidence, are augmenting concerns about further downside risks to near-term growth.
07 March 2019
GDP growth slowed to 1.4% q/q seasonally adjusted and annualised (saar) from 2.6% in 3Q18.
04 February 2019
The composite leading business cycle indicator decreased by 0.3% month-to-month in November 2018.
08 January 2019
Seasonally adjusted manufacturing production increased by 1.1% in October 2018 compared with September 2018.