A monthly overview of some important economic indicators. The latest leading indicator release of the SA Reserve Bank is discussed and a recession probability indicator is calculated. Interest rate developments, inflation, liquidations, insolvencies, retail sales and mining and manufacturing production developments and trends are also shown and briefly discussed. Tables of key international and monthly indicators are also provided.
07 December 2016
S&P; maintained its BBB- rating and reported that political events have distracted from growth-enhancing reforms, while low GDP growth continues to affect South Africa’s economic and fiscal performance and overall debt stock.
08 November 2016
South Africa’s import cover ratio is now back at more than 6 months after dipping to below 2 months in 2003.
03 October 2016
Manufacturing production growth eased-off in July, rising by only 0.
05 September 2016
The composite leading economic indicator published by the SA Reserve Bank, rose by 0.
05 July 2016
Manufacturing production picked up in April to 1.
06 June 2016
Recent figures indicate that our recession probability indicator has shown a consistent increase since early 2015.
16 May 2016
A possible downgrade by credit ratings agencies could cause renewed currency weakness which would fuel imported inflation, while food prices are likely to remain under pressure because of the drought.
13 April 2016
Recent figures indicate that our recession probability indicator has shown a consistent increase since 2010.
07 March 2016
Recent figures indicate that our recession probability indicator has shown a consistent increase since 2010.
08 February 2016
Using smoothed data up to end November 2015, the probability of a recession occurring within the next twelve months was at nearly 49%.
Quantec is a consultancy providing economic and financial data, country intelligence and quantitative analytical software.
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