A monthly overview of some important economic indicators. The latest leading indicator release of the SA Reserve Bank is discussed and a recession probability indicator is calculated. Interest rate developments, inflation, liquidations, insolvencies, retail sales and mining and manufacturing production developments and trends are also shown and briefly discussed. Tables of key international and monthly indicators are also provided.
04 December 2015
Recent figures indicate that our recession probability indicator has shown a consistent increase since 2010.
09 November 2015
The latest composite leading indicator of economic activity compiled by the South African Reserve Bank, decreased by 0.
07 September 2015
The composite leading business cycle indicator increased by 1.
12 August 2015
The composite leading business cycle indicator decreased by 1.
01 June 2015
The latest composite leading indicator of economic activity compiled by the South African Reserve Bank, showed a further decline of 0.
07 April 2015
The latest composite leading indicator of economic activity compiled by the South African Reserve Bank, showed a slight uptick of 0.
11 March 2015
The latest composite leading indicator of economic activity compiled by the South African Reserve Bank, showed a deterioration of 0.
09 February 2015
The latest composite leading indicator of economic activity compiled by the South African Reserve Bank, showed an improvement of 0.
05 December 2014
The latest composite leading indicator of economic activity compiled by the South African Reserve Bank, again showed a deterioration in September 2014 compared with August.
07 November 2014
The latest composite leading indicator of economic activity compiled by the South African Reserve Bank, showed some improvement in August 2014 compared with July.
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